Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000395 0.000444 0.000497 0.000559 0.000629 0.000707 0.000799
2024-12-15 0.000310 0.000380 0.000463 0.000570 0.000705 0.000869 0.001086
2024-12-22 0.000244 0.000319 0.000414 0.000545 0.000723 0.000957 0.001292
2024-12-29 0.000210 0.000288 0.000394 0.000548 0.000771 0.001083 0.001561
2025-01-05 0.000191 0.000275 0.000393 0.000574 0.000849 0.001258 0.001924
2025-01-12 0.000167 0.000249 0.000369 0.000562 0.000868 0.001347 0.002170
2025-01-19 0.000144 0.000221 0.000338 0.000534 0.000858 0.001386 0.002338
2025-01-26 0.000132 0.000209 0.000331 0.000541 0.000903 0.001518 0.002681
2025-02-02 0.000126 0.000206 0.000335 0.000567 0.000983 0.001720 0.003179
2025-02-09 0.000114 0.000191 0.000320 0.000558 0.001000 0.001813 0.003488
2025-02-16 0.000106 0.000182 0.000313 0.000562 0.001039 0.001950 0.003905
2025-02-23 0.000098 0.000172 0.000302 0.000556 0.001060 0.002052 0.004268
2025-03-02 0.000092 0.000166 0.000299 0.000567 0.001115 0.002236 0.004845
2025-03-09 0.000086 0.000159 0.000293 0.000572 0.001161 0.002411 0.005442
2025-03-16 0.000077 0.000145 0.000273 0.000546 0.001138 0.002433 0.005690
2025-03-23 0.000073 0.000139 0.000268 0.000549 0.001178 0.002601 0.006322
2025-03-30 0.000071 0.000138 0.000272 0.000574 0.001270 0.002904 0.007358
2025-04-06 0.000065 0.000130 0.000261 0.000562 0.001276 0.003001 0.007872
2025-04-13 0.000059 0.000119 0.000243 0.000534 0.001241 0.002993 0.008096
2025-04-20 0.000056 0.000115 0.000241 0.000541 0.001290 0.003206 0.008994
2025-04-27 0.000055 0.000115 0.000246 0.000567 0.001391 0.003572 0.010430
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000110 0.000238 0.000558 0.001403 0.003698 0.011157
2025-05-11 0.000049 0.000106 0.000234 0.000562 0.001447 0.003920 0.012243